Players by xG: Calvert-Lewin D. — 3.12 in 5 appearances; Bogle J. — 1.19 in 5 appearances; Stach A. — 0.97 in 5 appearances.
Recent results
D0–0 · Crystal Palace
W4–1 · Newcastle
D1–1 · Brighton
D1–1 · Brentford
W1–0 · Nottingham
What Gadiru’s model shows
Gadiru’s key takeaway
Recent results and the xG model both point to an edge for Arsenal.
Why this reading? In their recent matches, Arsenal won 4 of 5, while Leeds won 2 of 5. Expected goals give Arsenal a 0.32-goal edge (1.50–1.18). The outcome estimates are Arsenal 44.6%, draw 25.6%, and Leeds 29.9%.
The pre-match xG snapshot leans slightly toward Arsenal.
Expected goals from xG: Arsenal 1.5 — 1.18 Leeds
Model’s most likely market: Over 1.5 goals · 74.6%
Home win: 44.6%Draw: 25.6%Away win: 29.9%Over 1.5 goals: 74.6%Over 2.5 goals: 50%Under 3.5 goals: 72%Both teams to score: 53.7%
What to check live
Line-ups, tempo, dangerous chances and current odds shape the match. Continue in Gadiru Live for an in-play analysis.
Players by xG: Thiago I. — 3.13 in 5 appearances; Schade K. — 1.52 in 5 appearances; Lewis-Potter K. — 1.20 in 5 appearances.
Recent results
W3–0 · Chelsea
D2–2 · Bournemouth
D1–1 · Sunderland
D1–1 · Leeds
W3–0 · Tottenham
What Gadiru’s model shows
Gadiru’s key takeaway
Recent results and the xG model both point to an edge for Brentford.
Why this reading? In their recent matches, Aston Villa won 1 of 5, while Brentford won 2 of 5. Expected goals give Brentford a 0.79-goal edge (1.09–1.88). The outcome estimates are Aston Villa 21.8%, draw 22.4%, and Brentford 55.8%.
The pre-match xG snapshot leans slightly toward Brentford.
Expected goals from xG: Aston Villa 1.09 — 1.88 Brentford
Model’s most likely market: Over 1.5 goals · 79.6%
Home win: 21.8%Draw: 22.4%Away win: 55.8%Over 1.5 goals: 79.6%Over 2.5 goals: 57%Under 3.5 goals: 65.4%Both teams to score: 56.2%
What to check live
Line-ups, tempo, dangerous chances and current odds shape the match. Continue in Gadiru Live for an in-play analysis.
Players by xG: Gross P. — 1.78 in 5 appearances; De Cuyper M. — 1.55 in 5 appearances; Yalcouye M. — 1.46 in 5 appearances.
Recent results
W3–0 · Arsenal
W5–0 · Coventry
D1–1 · Leeds
L3–4 · Chelsea
W4–0 · Aston Villa
What Gadiru’s model shows
Gadiru’s key takeaway
Recent points return favors Brighton.
Why this reading? In their recent matches, Sunderland won 1 of 5, while Brighton won 3 of 5. Expected goals give Brighton a 0.17-goal edge (1.84–2.01). The outcome estimates are Sunderland 36.2%, draw 21.1%, and Brighton 42.8%.
The pre-match xG snapshot shows no clear edge.
Expected goals from xG: Sunderland 1.84 — 2.01 Brighton
Model’s most likely market: Over 1.5 goals · 89.7%
Home win: 36.2%Draw: 21.1%Away win: 42.8%Over 1.5 goals: 89.7%Over 2.5 goals: 74%Under 3.5 goals: 46.2%Both teams to score: 72.9%
What to check live
Line-ups, tempo, dangerous chances and current odds shape the match. Continue in Gadiru Live for an in-play analysis.
Players by xG: Garcia G. — 2.34 in 5 appearances; King J. — 1.54 in 5 appearances; Isidor W. — 1.39 in 1 appearances.
Recent results
D1–1 · Manchester Utd
D0–0 · Liverpool
L2–3 · Crystal Palace
L0–1 · Sunderland
L2–3 · Chelsea
What Gadiru’s model shows
Gadiru’s key takeaway
Recent points return favors Ipswich.
Why this reading? In their recent matches, Ipswich won 2 of 5, while Fulham won 0 of 5. Expected goals give Ipswich a 0.01-goal edge (1.68–1.67). The outcome estimates are Ipswich 39.0%, draw 22.8%, and Fulham 38.2%.
The pre-match xG snapshot shows no clear edge.
Expected goals from xG: Ipswich 1.68 — 1.67 Fulham
Model’s most likely market: Over 1.5 goals · 84.8%
Home win: 39%Draw: 22.8%Away win: 38.2%Over 1.5 goals: 84.8%Over 2.5 goals: 65.1%Under 3.5 goals: 56.9%Both teams to score: 66.1%
What to check live
Line-ups, tempo, dangerous chances and current odds shape the match. Continue in Gadiru Live for an in-play analysis.
Players by xG: Tavernier M. — 1.70 in 5 appearances; Barry T. — 1.48 in 1 appearances; Kluivert J. — 0.98 in 4 appearances.
Recent results
L0–1 · Liverpool
D2–2 · Brentford
D2–2 · Newcastle
D1–1 · Everton
L1–2 · Manchester City
What Gadiru’s model shows
Gadiru’s key takeaway
Recent points return favors Chelsea.
Why this reading? In their recent matches, Chelsea won 2 of 5, while Bournemouth won 0 of 5. Expected goals give Bournemouth a 0.11-goal edge (1.44–1.55). The outcome estimates are Chelsea 35.4%, draw 24.3%, and Bournemouth 40.3%.
The pre-match xG snapshot shows no clear edge.
Expected goals from xG: Chelsea 1.44 — 1.55 Bournemouth
Model’s most likely market: Over 1.5 goals · 79.9%
Home win: 35.4%Draw: 24.3%Away win: 40.3%Over 1.5 goals: 79.9%Over 2.5 goals: 57.4%Under 3.5 goals: 65%Both teams to score: 60.1%
What to check live
Line-ups, tempo, dangerous chances and current odds shape the match. Continue in Gadiru Live for an in-play analysis.
Players by xG: Isak A. — 3.54 in 5 appearances; Szoboszlai D. — 1.42 in 5 appearances; Wissa Y. — 1.00 in 1 appearances.
Recent results
W1–0 · Bournemouth
D0–0 · Fulham
W2–0 · Ipswich
D2–2 · Nottingham
D2–2 · Newcastle
Manchester City
Manchester City: 5 matches · 5 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses · goals 13:5
Players by xG: Haaland E. — 4.43 in 5 appearances; Brobbey B. — 2.35 in 1 appearances; Foden P. — 1.61 in 4 appearances.
Recent results
W5–3 · Sunderland
W1–0 · Manchester Utd
W1–0 · Coventry
W4–1 · Crystal Palace
W2–1 · Bournemouth
What Gadiru’s model shows
Gadiru’s key takeaway
Recent points return favors Manchester City.
Why this reading? In their recent matches, Liverpool won 2 of 5, while Manchester City won 5 of 5. Expected goals give Manchester City a 0.11-goal edge (1.56–1.67). The outcome estimates are Liverpool 35.9%, draw 23.3%, and Manchester City 40.8%.
The pre-match xG snapshot shows no clear edge.
Expected goals from xG: Liverpool 1.56 — 1.67 Manchester City
Model’s most likely market: Over 1.5 goals · 83.2%
Home win: 35.9%Draw: 23.3%Away win: 40.8%Over 1.5 goals: 83.2%Over 2.5 goals: 62.6%Under 3.5 goals: 59.6%Both teams to score: 64.1%
What to check live
Line-ups, tempo, dangerous chances and current odds shape the match. Continue in Gadiru Live for an in-play analysis.
Players by xG: Wissa Y. — 2.34 in 5 appearances; Isak A. — 1.09 in 1 appearances; Tavernier M. — 1.01 in 1 appearances.
Recent results
W2–1 · Hull
L1–4 · Leeds
D2–2 · Bournemouth
W2–0 · Tottenham
D2–2 · Liverpool
What Gadiru’s model shows
Gadiru’s key takeaway
Recent points return favors Newcastle.
Why this reading? In their recent matches, Coventry won 1 of 5, while Newcastle won 2 of 5. Expected goals give Coventry a 0.00-goal edge (1.39–1.39). The outcome estimates are Coventry 37.3%, draw 25.3%, and Newcastle 37.3%.
The pre-match xG snapshot shows no clear edge.
Expected goals from xG: Coventry 1.39 — 1.39 Newcastle
Model’s most likely market: Over 1.5 goals · 76.7%
Home win: 37.3%Draw: 25.3%Away win: 37.3%Over 1.5 goals: 76.7%Over 2.5 goals: 52.8%Under 3.5 goals: 69.5%Both teams to score: 56.5%
What to check live
Line-ups, tempo, dangerous chances and current odds shape the match. Continue in Gadiru Live for an in-play analysis.
Players by xG: Joao Pedro — 2.16 in 4 appearances; Rogers M. — 1.71 in 5 appearances; Palmer C. — 1.32 in 5 appearances.
Recent results
L0–3 · Brentford
D2–2 · Hull
L1–2 · Arsenal
W4–3 · Brighton
W3–2 · Fulham
What Gadiru’s model shows
Gadiru’s key takeaway
Recent points return favors Everton.
Why this reading? In their recent matches, Everton won 2 of 5, while Chelsea won 2 of 5. Expected goals give Everton a 0.19-goal edge (1.61–1.42). The outcome estimates are Everton 42.1%, draw 24.0%, and Chelsea 33.9%.
The pre-match xG snapshot shows no clear edge.
Expected goals from xG: Everton 1.61 — 1.42 Chelsea
Model’s most likely market: Over 1.5 goals · 80.6%
Home win: 42.1%Draw: 24%Away win: 33.9%Over 1.5 goals: 80.6%Over 2.5 goals: 58.5%Under 3.5 goals: 63.9%Both teams to score: 60.8%
What to check live
Line-ups, tempo, dangerous chances and current odds shape the match. Continue in Gadiru Live for an in-play analysis.
Players by xG: Fernandes B. — 2.02 in 1 appearances; Mbeumo B. — 1.76 in 1 appearances; Emersonn — 1.61 in 5 appearances.
Recent results
L0–1 · Everton
W3–2 · Crystal Palace
L0–2 · Liverpool
L2–5 · Manchester Utd
W2–1 · Sunderland
What Gadiru’s model shows
Gadiru’s key takeaway
Recent results and the xG model both point to an edge for Manchester City.
Why this reading? In their recent matches, Manchester City won 5 of 5, while Ipswich won 2 of 5. Expected goals give Manchester City a 0.46-goal edge (1.96–1.50). The outcome estimates are Manchester City 48.5%, draw 21.9%, and Ipswich 29.7%.
The pre-match xG snapshot leans slightly toward Manchester City.
Expected goals from xG: Manchester City 1.96 — 1.5 Ipswich
Model’s most likely market: Over 1.5 goals · 85.9%
Home win: 48.5%Draw: 21.9%Away win: 29.7%Over 1.5 goals: 85.9%Over 2.5 goals: 67%Under 3.5 goals: 54.7%Both teams to score: 66.6%
What to check live
Line-ups, tempo, dangerous chances and current odds shape the match. Continue in Gadiru Live for an in-play analysis.
Players by xG: Isak A. — 3.54 in 5 appearances; Szoboszlai D. — 1.42 in 5 appearances; Wissa Y. — 1.00 in 1 appearances.
Recent results
W1–0 · Bournemouth
D0–0 · Fulham
W2–0 · Ipswich
D2–2 · Nottingham
D2–2 · Newcastle
What Gadiru’s model shows
Gadiru’s key takeaway
Recent results and xG estimates are close, pointing to a balanced match.
Why this reading? In their recent matches, Brentford won 2 of 5, while Liverpool won 2 of 5. Expected goals give Brentford a 0.13-goal edge (1.60–1.47). The outcome estimates are Brentford 40.9%, draw 23.9%, and Liverpool 35.1%.
The pre-match xG snapshot shows no clear edge.
Expected goals from xG: Brentford 1.6 — 1.47 Liverpool
Model’s most likely market: Over 1.5 goals · 81.1%
Home win: 40.9%Draw: 23.9%Away win: 35.1%Over 1.5 goals: 81.1%Over 2.5 goals: 59.3%Under 3.5 goals: 63.1%Both teams to score: 61.5%
What to check live
Line-ups, tempo, dangerous chances and current odds shape the match. Continue in Gadiru Live for an in-play analysis.
Players by xG: Wissa Y. — 2.34 in 5 appearances; Isak A. — 1.09 in 1 appearances; Tavernier M. — 1.01 in 1 appearances.
Recent results
W2–1 · Hull
L1–4 · Leeds
D2–2 · Bournemouth
W2–0 · Tottenham
D2–2 · Liverpool
Aston Villa
Aston Villa: 5 matches · 1 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses · goals 4:9
Players by xG: De Cuyper M. — 1.47 in 1 appearances; Hinshelwood J. — 1.41 in 1 appearances; Buendia E. — 0.92 in 5 appearances.
Recent results
W3–2 · Tottenham
L1–2 · Nottingham
D0–0 · Hull
L0–1 · Arsenal
L0–4 · Brighton
What Gadiru’s model shows
Gadiru’s key takeaway
Recent points return favors Newcastle.
Why this reading? In their recent matches, Newcastle won 2 of 5, while Aston Villa won 1 of 5. Expected goals give Newcastle a 0.06-goal edge (1.42–1.36). The outcome estimates are Newcastle 38.7%, draw 25.4%, and Aston Villa 35.9%.
The pre-match xG snapshot shows no clear edge.
Expected goals from xG: Newcastle 1.42 — 1.36 Aston Villa
Model’s most likely market: Over 1.5 goals · 76.6%
Home win: 38.7%Draw: 25.4%Away win: 35.9%Over 1.5 goals: 76.6%Over 2.5 goals: 52.6%Under 3.5 goals: 69.6%Both teams to score: 56.4%
What to check live
Line-ups, tempo, dangerous chances and current odds shape the match. Continue in Gadiru Live for an in-play analysis.
Players by xG: Brobbey B. — 2.94 in 5 appearances; Le Fee E. — 2.05 in 5 appearances; Isidor W. — 1.49 in 5 appearances.
Recent results
L3–5 · Manchester City
L0–2 · Arsenal
D1–1 · Brentford
W1–0 · Fulham
L1–2 · Ipswich
What Gadiru’s model shows
Gadiru’s key takeaway
Recent results and xG estimates are close, pointing to a balanced match.
Why this reading? In their recent matches, Bournemouth won 0 of 5, while Sunderland won 1 of 5. Expected goals give Sunderland a 0.15-goal edge (1.53–1.68). The outcome estimates are Bournemouth 35.2%, draw 23.3%, and Sunderland 41.5%.
The pre-match xG snapshot shows no clear edge.
Expected goals from xG: Bournemouth 1.53 — 1.68 Sunderland
Model’s most likely market: Over 1.5 goals · 83.1%
Home win: 35.2%Draw: 23.3%Away win: 41.5%Over 1.5 goals: 83.1%Over 2.5 goals: 62.3%Under 3.5 goals: 59.9%Both teams to score: 63.8%
What to check live
Line-ups, tempo, dangerous chances and current odds shape the match. Continue in Gadiru Live for an in-play analysis.
Players by xG: Nketiah E. — 1.10 in 4 appearances; Khalaili A. — 0.96 in 5 appearances; Foden P. — 0.87 in 1 appearances.
Recent results
D0–0 · Leeds
L2–3 · Ipswich
W3–2 · Fulham
L1–4 · Manchester City
L0–2 · Everton
What Gadiru’s model shows
Gadiru’s key takeaway
Recent results and the xG model both point to an edge for Brighton.
Why this reading? In their recent matches, Brighton won 3 of 5, while Crystal Palace won 1 of 5. Expected goals give Brighton a 0.60-goal edge (2.09–1.49). The outcome estimates are Brighton 51.5%, draw 21.1%, and Crystal Palace 27.5%.
The pre-match xG snapshot leans slightly toward Brighton.
Expected goals from xG: Brighton 2.09 — 1.49 Crystal Palace
Model’s most likely market: Over 1.5 goals · 87.3%
Home win: 51.5%Draw: 21.1%Away win: 27.5%Over 1.5 goals: 87.3%Over 2.5 goals: 69.5%Under 3.5 goals: 51.8%Both teams to score: 68%
What to check live
Line-ups, tempo, dangerous chances and current odds shape the match. Continue in Gadiru Live for an in-play analysis.
Players by xG: Awoniyi T. — 1.30 in 4 appearances; Haaland E. — 1.06 in 1 appearances; Rudoni J. — 0.91 in 5 appearances.
Recent results
W1–0 · Nottingham
L0–5 · Brighton
L0–1 · Manchester City
L0–1 · Hull
L0–3 · Arsenal
What Gadiru’s model shows
Gadiru’s key takeaway
Recent results and xG estimates are close, pointing to a balanced match.
Why this reading? In their recent matches, Tottenham won 0 of 5, while Coventry won 1 of 5. Expected goals give Tottenham a 0.06-goal edge (1.33–1.27). The outcome estimates are Tottenham 38.2%, draw 26.4%, and Coventry 35.4%.
The pre-match xG snapshot shows no clear edge.
Expected goals from xG: Tottenham 1.33 — 1.27 Coventry
Model’s most likely market: Under 3.5 goals · 73.7%
Home win: 38.2%Draw: 26.4%Away win: 35.4%Over 1.5 goals: 73.2%Over 2.5 goals: 48.1%Under 3.5 goals: 73.7%Both teams to score: 52.8%
What to check live
Line-ups, tempo, dangerous chances and current odds shape the match. Continue in Gadiru Live for an in-play analysis.