GADIRU · MATCH ANALYSIS

Ipswich — Fulham

Premier League · Kick-off: Oct 10, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC

Gadiru pre-match analysis for Premier League: Ipswich vs Fulham.

Team form

Ipswich

Ipswich: 5 matches · 2 wins · 0 draws · 3 losses · goals 7:11

Fulham

Fulham: 5 matches · 0 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses · goals 5:8

Gadiru analysis

Ipswich form

Across their last 5 matches, Ipswich recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. They scored 7 and conceded 11. Their average xG per match is 1.55, compared with 1.79 for opponents. Opponents tended to create the more dangerous chances over this run. Leading players: Fernandes B. — 2.02 xG in 1 appearances; Mbeumo B. — 1.76 xG in 1 appearances; Emersonn — 1.61 xG in 5 appearances.

Fulham form

Across their last 5 matches, Fulham recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. They scored 5 and conceded 8. Their average xG per match is 1.54, compared with 1.82 for opponents. Opponents tended to create the more dangerous chances over this run. Leading players: Garcia G. — 2.34 xG in 5 appearances; King J. — 1.54 xG in 5 appearances; Isidor W. — 1.39 xG in 1 appearances.

Gadiru prediction

The xG model's most likely outcome is Ipswich win (39.0%). In recent matches, Ipswich won 2 of 5, while Fulham won 0 of 5. Expected goals give Ipswich a 0.01-goal edge (Ipswich 1.68, Fulham 1.67). That's an edge, not a sure thing: the other outcomes add up to 61.0%. Over 1.5 goals is estimated at 84.8%.

Expected goals from xG: Ipswich 1.68 — 1.67 Fulham

Model probability estimates

Over 1.5 goals: 84.8%Both teams to score: 66.1%Over 2.5 goals: 65.1%Home or draw: 61.8%Away or draw: 61.1%Under 3.5 goals: 56.9%Home win: 39.0%Away win: 38.2%Draw: 22.8%

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